Melbourne Heart vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
ADE
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2011 |
SYD
0 - 4
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 2
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
1 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
CCM
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CCM
0 - 0
GOL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
PER
1 - 3
CCM
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |