Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
29
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MCI
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MCI
2 - 1
BRI
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 2
SYD
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 4
ADE
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
WUF
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |