Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
15º
56
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meizhou Hakka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 1
MEI
39%
25%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 1
CHA
33%
24%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
7 - 2
MEI
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEI
3 - 2
TIT
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
QIN
4 - 2
MEI
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 2
BEI
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BEI
0 - 0
HAN
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
QYI
2 - 2
BEI
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |