Mehring vs Wirges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mehring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BNE
2 - 1
MEH
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEH
0 - 7
ELV
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MEC
0 - 3
MEH
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MEH
1 - 1
BET
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
1 - 0
MEH
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Wirges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 0
WIR
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIR
1 - 2
BET
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
SAA
4 - 1
WIR
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WIR
1 - 1
SAL
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GON
1 - 2
WIR
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |