USM Oujda vs FUS Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
CHA
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ROZ
1 - 0
USM
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USM
3 - 0
STM
36%
30%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
USM
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FUS Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RSB
2 - 0
FUR
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
RCA
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SCC
0 - 1
FUR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 0
CCR
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 1
MOG
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |