Liga MX Apertura round 1

Mazatlán vs Puebla analysis

Mazatlán Puebla
75 ELO 80
-1.2% Tilt -4%
1023º General ELO ranking 1100º
19º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
44.2%
Mazatlán
25%
Draw
30.8%
Puebla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
Mazatlán
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
Puebla
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mazatlán
+7%
-13%
Puebla

ELO progression

Mazatlán
Puebla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mazatlán
Mazatlán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2022
PUE
Puebla
2 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
63%
20%
17%
75 80 5 0
30 Apr. 2022
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 1
Puebla
PUE
42%
26%
32%
75 80 5 0
23 Apr. 2022
JUA
FC Juárez
0 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
39%
29%
33%
74 70 4 +1
20 Apr. 2022
MAZ
Mazatlán
1 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
36%
26%
38%
73 82 9 +1
15 Apr. 2022
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
1 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
58%
23%
20%
73 80 7 0

Matches

Puebla
Puebla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2022
AME
América
3 - 2
Puebla
PUE
55%
24%
21%
80 83 3 0
12 May. 2022
PUE
Puebla
1 - 1
América
AME
35%
27%
38%
80 83 3 0
09 May. 2022
PUE
Puebla
2 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
63%
20%
17%
80 75 5 0
30 Apr. 2022
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 1
Puebla
PUE
42%
26%
32%
80 75 5 0
23 Apr. 2022
PUE
Puebla
0 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
56%
24%
20%
81 76 5 -1