Mauritius vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
1 - 3
DJI
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
PAK
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
83%
13%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
ANG
9%
20%
71%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
MWI
13%
24%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
KEN
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IRN
2 - 1
KEN
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
KEN
2 - 1
RWA
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 1
MLI
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |