Maur Lusitanos vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maur Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 0
SML
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SML
1 - 1
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
IRI
1 - 2
SML
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SML
1 - 1
AAC
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 0
SML
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
IRI
1 - 3
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LEN
3 - 2
AAC
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 3
ARR
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POI
3 - 0
LEN
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
DRA
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |