Mauá vs ECUS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
JAB
0 - 1
MFC
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAU
1 - 1
MFC
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NAC
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
RIO
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ECN
3 - 1
MFC
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ECU
0 - 1
NAC
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
ECU
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ECU
3 - 1
MAU
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
4 - 2
MAU
14%
19%
68%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OSA
2 - 1
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |