Matera vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
MAT
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 0
MAT
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
REG
2 - 3
MAT
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
BEN
12%
21%
67%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
REG
0 - 2
VIG
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIG
70%
20%
9%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |