Matera vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
JUS
4 - 0
MAT
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCC
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
REG
2 - 0
USV
39%
27%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REG
0 - 3
CAV
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 2
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
REG
3 - 2
RIE
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |