Matelica Calcio vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CES
2 - 1
MAT
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
MAT
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ISE
1 - 1
MAT
13%
22%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 3
CAM
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 1
MAT
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |