Matagalpa FC vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
3º
31
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 22 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 18 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 16 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
4 - 0
JAP
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 0
MFC
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
CDS
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
DIR
16%
24%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
DIR
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIR
2 - 3
RSA
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 2
DIR
17%
25%
59%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |