Marz vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
STM
2 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
OBE
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
3 - 3
MAR
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 2
STG
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PUR
5 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
HOR
6 - 0
STG
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
PUR
2 - 0
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HOR
4 - 0
JEN
41%
26%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
DEU
1 - 1
HOR
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HOR
0 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |