Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
MPU
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
BID
2 - 1
MAR
42%
29%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
BLO
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 0
GOL
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 0
BID
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -3 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MPU
1 - 2
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +4 |