Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 5-2
Marítimo vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 2
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
GFC
0 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VST
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 2
MAR
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
UNM
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
0 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |