Primeira Liga round 16

Marítimo vs Sporting CP analysis

Marítimo Sporting CP
58 ELO 84
-15.7% Tilt -5.2%
1205º General ELO ranking 67º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.3%
Marítimo
27.9%
Draw
54.8%
Sporting CP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
54.8%
Win probability
Sporting CP
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
-6%
+21%
Sporting CP

ELO progression

Marítimo
Sporting CP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 1983
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 0
Portimonense
POR
42%
30%
28%
57 67 10 0
19 Dec. 1982
MAR
Marítimo
3 - 0
Amora FC
AMO
49%
27%
24%
56 58 2 +1
05 Dec. 1982
RIO
Rio Ave
6 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
67%
21%
12%
57 64 7 -1
28 Nov. 1982
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 0
Porto
FCP
16%
29%
56%
57 88 31 0
21 Nov. 1982
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 1
Varzim
VAR
47%
30%
23%
57 64 7 0

Matches

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 1983
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
4 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
30%
29%
41%
85 72 13 0
02 Jan. 1983
SCP
Sporting CP
1 - 0
Benfica
SLB
45%
25%
30%
84 88 4 +1
18 Dec. 1982
EST
Estoril
0 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
20%
29%
51%
85 60 25 -1
05 Dec. 1982
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
SC Salgueiros
SAL
83%
11%
6%
84 69 15 +1
01 Dec. 1982
SCP
Sporting CP
6 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
81%
12%
7%
84 68 16 0