Marítimo vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
21.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
11%
24%
65%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SPC
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
VST
4 - 2
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
MAR
0 - 3
VIT
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
13%
30%
57%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
13%
25%
62%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
43%
32%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
54%
26%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |