Primeira Liga round 18

Marítimo vs Os Belenenses analysis

Marítimo Os Belenenses
74 ELO 68
-14.7% Tilt -21.6%
1220º General ELO ranking 3997º
20º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
52.2%
Marítimo
25.4%
Draw
22.3%
Os Belenenses

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
Marítimo
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.3%
Win probability
Os Belenenses
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
-8%
-4%
Os Belenenses

ELO progression

Marítimo
Os Belenenses
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jan. 2005
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 1
Estoril
EST
56%
24%
20%
74 64 10 0
12 Jan. 2005
FIA
Fiães SC
0 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
8%
19%
73%
74 13 61 0
09 Jan. 2005
UDL
União de Leiria
0 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
57%
25%
19%
74 76 2 0
22 Dec. 2004
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 1
Porto
FCP
20%
27%
53%
73 88 15 +1
19 Dec. 2004
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
49%
27%
25%
73 72 1 0

Matches

Os Belenenses
Os Belenenses
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2005
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
55%
24%
21%
68 70 2 0
12 Jan. 2005
BEL
Os Belenenses
3 - 0
Pombal
POM
89%
8%
3%
68 33 35 0
09 Jan. 2005
BEL
Os Belenenses
0 - 1
Gil Vicente
GFC
53%
24%
23%
68 69 1 0
19 Dec. 2004
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Os Belenenses
BEL
52%
24%
24%
69 69 0 -1
12 Dec. 2004
BEL
Os Belenenses
4 - 1
Benfica
SLB
22%
24%
54%
67 86 19 +2