Tercera RFEF XII - Islas Canarias round 7

Marino vs Las Palmas At. analysis

Marino Las Palmas At.
33 ELO 42
-12% Tilt -8.5%
9276º General ELO ranking 6133º
361º Country ELO ranking 200º
ELO win probability
25%
Marino
26.1%
Draw
48.9%
Las Palmas At.

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
Marino
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.9%
Win probability
Las Palmas At.
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marino
+3%
+12%
Las Palmas At.

Points and table prediction

Marino
Their league position
Las Palmas At.
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
16
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Las Palmas At.
16
69
46%
UD San Fernando
14
67
21%
Lanzarote
13
60
19%
Arucas
17
59
11.5%
Panadería Pulido
13
55
8%
Marino
16
54
6%
Tamaraceite
14
50
10.5%
CD San Miguel
12
48
10%
CD Mensajero
16º
7
46
8.5%
Villa Santa Brígida
18
45
10º
10%
San Bartolomé CF
11º
8
44
11º
7%
CD Buzanada
15º
8
44
12º
9.5%
Ibarra
10º
10
40
13º
14%
Llanos Aridane
14º
8
37
14º
10.5%
CD Santa Úrsula
12º
8
35
15º
13.5%
Herbania
17º
6
32
16º
14%
Unión Viera
13º
8
32
17º
22.5%
Estrella
18º
1
24
18º
49%
Expected probabilities
Marino
Las Palmas At.
Promotion
6.5% 46%
Promotion play-offs
34.5% 47%
Mid-table
57.5% 7%
Relegation
1.5% 0%

ELO progression

Marino
Las Palmas At.
Llanos Aridane
Panadería Pulido
CD Santa Úrsula
San Bartolomé CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marino
Marino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2024
HBN
Herbania
2 - 3
Marino
MAR
33%
25%
43%
31 26 5 0
06 Oct. 2024
MAR
Marino
1 - 0
San Bartolomé CF
SBA
47%
24%
29%
30 30 0 +1
28 Sep. 2024
CSU
CD Santa Úrsula
1 - 0
Marino
MAR
29%
25%
46%
31 26 5 -1
22 Sep. 2024
MAR
Marino
2 - 0
CD Buzanada
CDB
39%
24%
37%
29 32 3 +2
15 Sep. 2024
MAR
Marino
1 - 0
Villa Santa Brígida
VSB
43%
24%
33%
28 30 2 +1

Matches

Las Palmas At.
Las Palmas At.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
LPA
Las Palmas At.
3 - 1
CD Mensajero
CDM
61%
21%
18%
41 33 8 0
06 Oct. 2024
LAN
Lanzarote
1 - 1
Las Palmas At.
LPA
41%
28%
32%
41 41 0 0
29 Sep. 2024
LPA
Las Palmas At.
0 - 0
Arucas
ARU
64%
20%
16%
41 33 8 0
22 Sep. 2024
UDS
UD San Fernando
1 - 1
Las Palmas At.
LPA
47%
26%
28%
41 42 1 0
15 Sep. 2024
LPA
Las Palmas At.
3 - 1
Unión Viera
UNV
78%
14%
8%
40 24 16 +1