Marino vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
6º
6º
16
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
16 | 69 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 67 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 55 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 45 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 32 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 32 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 24 |
18º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 46% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HBN
2 - 3
MAR
33%
25%
43%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SBA
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 0
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDB
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
VSB
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LPA
3 - 1
CDM
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
LPA
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 0
ARU
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
LPA
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LPA
3 - 1
UNV
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |