Marino vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
27.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1992 |
REA
3 - 0
MAR
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CDF
2 - 2
MAR
41%
30%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
MAR
1 - 0
EXT
35%
30%
35%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CDB
3 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1992 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
39%
31%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
BAE
0 - 1
POL
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
POL
2 - 0
BET
46%
29%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
REC
3 - 0
POL
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
POL
0 - 1
MEL
59%
25%
15%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
POL
0 - 0
XER
38%
31%
31%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |