Marília vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
GRE
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 0
JUV
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 3
TAB
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |