Paulista A3 1ra Fase round 13

Marília vs RB Bragantino B analysis

Marília RB Bragantino B
50 ELO 34
-14.8% Tilt -7.1%
3933º General ELO ranking 9517º
129º Country ELO ranking 402º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Marília
20.7%
Draw
16.4%
RB Bragantino B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
Marília
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.4%
Win probability
RB Bragantino B
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marília
-7%
+769%
RB Bragantino B

ELO progression

Marília
RB Bragantino B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marília
Marília
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2024
BER
EC São Bernardo
2 - 2
Marília
MAR
41%
25%
34%
51 50 1 0
02 Mar. 2024
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 0
Marília
MAR
19%
23%
57%
52 40 12 -1
29 Feb. 2024
MAR
Marília
3 - 0
Desportivo Brasil
DES
45%
26%
29%
51 49 2 +1
24 Feb. 2024
MAR
Marília
1 - 0
Sertãozinho
SER
65%
21%
15%
50 39 11 +1
21 Feb. 2024
MAT
Matonense
0 - 6
Marília
MAR
15%
22%
63%
50 33 17 0

Matches

RB Bragantino B
RB Bragantino B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2024
CAB
RB Bragantino B
1 - 0
São Caetano
SAO
27%
23%
50%
30 42 12 0
02 Mar. 2024
USA
USAC
1 - 1
RB Bragantino B
CAB
60%
21%
20%
30 43 13 0
28 Feb. 2024
CAB
RB Bragantino B
3 - 0
Rio Preto
RIO
28%
22%
50%
26 39 13 +4
24 Feb. 2024
VOT
Votuporanguense
3 - 2
RB Bragantino B
CAB
66%
20%
14%
26 48 22 0
21 Feb. 2024
DES
Desportivo Brasil
2 - 1
RB Bragantino B
CAB
63%
21%
16%
26 51 25 0