UEFA Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Maribor vs Hajduk Kula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
BIR
0 - 3
MAR
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
NKI
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCK
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NKN
0 - 4
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hajduk Kula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
CRV
1 - 1
HAJ
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HAJ
1 - 0
BEA
48%
28%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
HAJ
2 - 1
MLA
51%
28%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
VOJ
1 - 0
HAJ
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
HAJ
3 - 0
PAR
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |