Non League Premier Isthmian round 15

Margate vs Burgess Hill Town analysis

Margate Burgess Hill Town
34 ELO 26
-5% Tilt -14.4%
8896º General ELO ranking 10832º
429º Country ELO ranking 574º
ELO win probability
68.5%
Margate
18.3%
Draw
13.3%
Burgess Hill Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
Margate
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
Burgess Hill Town
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Margate
+20%
+22%
Burgess Hill Town

ELO progression

Margate
Burgess Hill Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Margate
Margate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2018
MAR
Margate
1 - 2
Potters Bar Town
POT
46%
25%
29%
36 35 1 0
20 Oct. 2018
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
0 - 0
Margate
MAR
46%
24%
31%
36 32 4 0
13 Oct. 2018
MAR
Margate
2 - 1
Enfield Town
ENF
46%
23%
31%
35 34 1 +1
06 Oct. 2018
MAR
Margate
0 - 0
Harlow Town
HAR
70%
18%
13%
35 25 10 0
01 Oct. 2018
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
1 - 2
Margate
MAR
50%
23%
27%
34 32 2 +1

Matches

Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2018
WOR
Worthing
2 - 1
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
72%
17%
11%
26 39 13 0
27 Oct. 2018
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
1 - 1
Worthing
WOR
20%
20%
60%
25 39 14 +1
23 Oct. 2018
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
0 - 0
Dorking Wanderers
DOR
24%
23%
53%
24 37 13 +1
16 Oct. 2018
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
0 - 1
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
37%
23%
40%
25 31 6 -1
13 Oct. 2018
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
3 - 1
Haringey Borough
HAR
22%
23%
55%
21 36 15 +4