UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Marek vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
2 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 2
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
GOR
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
SWB
2 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
STR
4 - 1
SWB
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SWB
2 - 2
RBS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUS
4 - 1
SWB
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SWB
1 - 1
FCK
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |