Marconi Stallions vs Nws Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
12º
4º
39
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
WSW
76%
15%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
MAR
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
API
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 1
NWS
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NWS
0 - 0
SYD
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
NWS
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWS
3 - 1
MDT
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 2
NWS
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |