Marconi Stallions vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SYD
3 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 2
BRI
49%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 2
SYD
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NZK
1 - 2
ADE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
ADE
1 - 1
PER
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
ADE
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |