Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRI
9%
21%
70%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NES
0 - 1
FFL
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
FFL
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
2 - 0
CAC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |