Serie B round 14

Manta vs Macará analysis

Manta Macará
68 ELO 74
-5.4% Tilt -15.1%
730º General ELO ranking 685º
15º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
29.1%
Manta
28.1%
Draw
42.8%
Macará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
Manta
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.9%
Win probability
Macará
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manta
-2%
-19%
Macará

Points and table prediction

Manta
Their league position
Macará
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
64
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Macará
64
64
100%
Imbabura
58
58
100%
Vinotinto Ecuador
55
55
100%
Manta
52
52
100%
Independiente Juniors
51
51
100%
9 de Octubre
44
44
100%
Vargas Torres
44
44
100%
Chacaritas
43
43
0%
América Quito
43
43
0%
Búhos ULVR
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Manta
Macará
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Manta
Macará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manta
Manta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2023
OCT
9 de Octubre
0 - 1
Manta
MAN
59%
24%
17%
66 71 5 0
02 Jun. 2023
MAN
Manta
2 - 0
Imbabura
IMB
35%
27%
38%
66 67 1 0
25 May. 2023
AME
América Quito
1 - 1
Manta
MAN
52%
27%
21%
66 70 4 0
19 May. 2023
GUA
Búhos ULVR
2 - 1
Manta
MAN
37%
30%
34%
66 61 5 0
12 May. 2023
MAN
Manta
1 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
49%
27%
24%
66 63 3 0

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2023
MAC
Macará
2 - 0
América Quito
AME
53%
26%
21%
74 70 4 0
31 May. 2023
GUA
Búhos ULVR
1 - 2
Macará
MAC
23%
29%
48%
74 62 12 0
26 May. 2023
MAC
Macará
1 - 0
Vargas Torres
CSV
62%
24%
14%
74 55 19 0
17 May. 2023
CUN
Vinotinto Ecuador
2 - 3
Macará
MAC
22%
27%
51%
74 51 23 0
11 May. 2023
MAC
Macará
2 - 1
Independiente Juniors
INJ
48%
27%
25%
74 71 3 0