Manta vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
2º
47
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ECS
0 - 1
MAN
6%
13%
81%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 4
MAN
26%
29%
45%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUN
39%
30%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
RIV
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
OCT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |