EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-5
Mansfield Town vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
MAN
4 - 3
HAR
41%
27%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAN
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
CHE
4 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
MAN
1 - 1
HUL
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
MAN
5 - 1
HAL
57%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BRA
0 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAN
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SOU
2 - 0
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
1 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
CHA
1 - 1
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |