League One round 21

Mansfield Town vs Rotherham United analysis

Mansfield Town Rotherham United
69 ELO 63
4% Tilt 5.9%
1012º General ELO ranking 1442º
49º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
56.3%
Mansfield Town
23.5%
Draw
20.2%
Rotherham United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
Mansfield Town
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
Rotherham United
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

ELO50.852.654.356.157.959.661.463.164.966.668.470.171.973.775.477.2-19.6%-17.1%-14.6%-12.1%-9.7%-7.2%-4.7%-2.2%0.3%2.8%5.2%7.7%10.2%12.7%15.2%17.7%20.1%22.6%25.1%27.6%
← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mansfield Town
+5%
+11%
Rotherham United

ELO progression

60º62º64º66º68º70º72ºJan .24May .24Aug .24Nov .24
Mansfield Town
Rotherham United
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
Charlton Athletic
Burton Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
CHA
Charlton Athletic
0 - 0
Mansfield Town
MAN
40%
26%
34%
69 66 3 0
07 Dec. 2024
MAN
Mansfield Town
1 - 2
Huddersfield Town
HUR
38%
26%
36%
69 73 4 0
03 Dec. 2024
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 1
Mansfield Town
MAN
55%
23%
22%
70 75 5 -1
30 Nov. 2024
STE
Stevenage
0 - 1
Mansfield Town
MAN
27%
24%
50%
70 65 5 0
26 Nov. 2024
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 0
Mansfield Town
MAN
54%
24%
22%
70 76 6 0

Matches

Rotherham United
Rotherham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2024
ROT
Rotherham United
3 - 0
Northampton
NOR
45%
26%
30%
63 61 2 0
10 Dec. 2024
ROT
Rotherham United
3 - 2
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
59%
22%
19%
62 54 8 +1
03 Dec. 2024
ROT
Rotherham United
2 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
29%
28%
43%
62 71 9 0
23 Nov. 2024
CRA
Crawley Town
1 - 0
Rotherham United
ROT
48%
24%
28%
62 61 1 0
19 Nov. 2024
BRA
Bradford City
0 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
44%
24%
32%
61 64 3 +1