Le Mans vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
STL
2 - 1
LMU
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
LMU
2 - 2
ANG
51%
28%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
AMI
0 - 0
LMU
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LMU
0 - 1
LEN
37%
28%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
LMU
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
MPL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ETG
2 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |