CE Manresa vs Cerdanyola FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
4º
15
7º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 69 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 64 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 64 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 52 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 51 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 44 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 43 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 42 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 41 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 37 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 32 |
17º
|
29.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 27 |
18º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Manresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CFR
3 - 1
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
SAB
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 1
MAN
31%
28%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
GIR
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 1
MAN
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cerdanyola FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CER
0 - 2
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EUR
1 - 1
CER
13%
19%
69%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
CEA
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PER
0 - 3
CER
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
MOL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |