Marchfeld vs Kremser SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
7º
3º
28
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21.5% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
FAV
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 3
MAN
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
DON
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
VIE
13%
18%
70%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
7 - 0
ASV
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kremser SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 1
NEU
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 2
KRE
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 3
WIE
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 4
STR
6%
12%
82%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 6
KRE
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |