Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
8º
14º
8º
31
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 0
API
17%
22%
62%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 2
MAN
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
NWS
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 0
WSW
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
BLA
9%
19%
72%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
SUT
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
MAR
12%
21%
67%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
API
1 - 0
SUT
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |