Manly United vs St George City FA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NWS
4 - 2
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
WSW
0 - 1
MAN
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
HIB
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
St George City FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STG
3 - 1
HIB
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 1
STG
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STG
5 - 0
WSW
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
STG
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
STG
1 - 2
SYD
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |