Man. Utd U21 vs Hertha BSC U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 5
MAN
40%
23%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
DON
3 - 3
MAN
58%
20%
23%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
MCI
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 3
MAN
30%
21%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 1
STC
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |