Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
CHL
4 - 2
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1937 |
MUD
0 - 1
OPA
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
MUD
1 - 3
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
ARS
1 - 1
MUD
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1937 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
44%
23%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1937 |
PNE
0 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
STO
2 - 4
OPA
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1937 |
STO
10 - 3
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
MID
1 - 0
STO
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |