Manchester United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 3
MUD
41%
23%
36%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
CHA
1 - 0
MUD
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
66%
18%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
BPO
2 - 0
MUD
45%
23%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
OPA
3 - 0
WBA
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
ARS
3 - 0
OPA
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
OPA
2 - 0
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |