Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
RSO
0 - 4
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
WBA
1 - 1
MUD
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 0
WHU
68%
19%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 3
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
9 - 0
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 2
SOU
30%
25%
44%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRY
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
LEE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |