Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
14º
10º
45
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 93 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 76 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 67 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 66 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 57 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 57 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 55 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 53 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 53 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 52 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 49 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 48 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 43 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 36 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
19º
|
14 | 31 |
18º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 31 |
19º
|
36.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 21 |
20º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Champions League
|
2.5% | 3.5% |
|
Europa League
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BHA
2 - 1
MUD
26%
24%
50%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
1 - 0
FUL
67%
20%
14%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
95 | 100 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
0 - 3
LIV
26%
22%
52%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
3 - 2
BET
65%
20%
15%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IPS
0 - 2
LIV
9%
15%
76%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
4 - 1
SEV
79%
14%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
UDL
86%
10%
3%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
0 - 3
LIV
26%
22%
52%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |