Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
SHE
2 - 0
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
BCF
0 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
PNE
0 - 0
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1908 |
CHL
0 - 4
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1908 |
SHE
0 - 3
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
CHL
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
74%
14%
12%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 0
MID
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |