Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
PNE
3 - 1
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
SHE
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
CHA
3 - 0
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
MUD
5 - 1
CHA
66%
18%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 2
WBA
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
BIR
1 - 2
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
BUR
3 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
PNE
4 - 2
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
BUR
1 - 2
PNE
48%
23%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |