Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 2
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
STO
0 - 1
MAC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
MAC
4 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
TOT
1 - 2
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1933 |
LEE
0 - 0
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
TOT
4 - 0
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
WBA
1 - 2
TOT
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
TOT
2 - 0
MID
54%
21%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |