Manchester City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
SHE
1 - 3
MAC
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
MAC
5 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 0
WBA
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
MAC
3 - 1
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
MAC
1 - 0
WOL
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
SWI
3 - 1
BCF
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
SWI
0 - 0
BOU
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
NOT
3 - 1
SWI
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
SWI
3 - 2
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
WIG
1 - 0
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |