Premier League round 22

Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis

Manchester City Stoke City
86 ELO 80
3.9% Tilt -5.7%
General ELO ranking 767º
Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
72.1%
Manchester City
17.7%
Draw
10.2%
Stoke City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
Manchester City
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.2%
Win probability
Stoke City
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manchester City
-7%
+2%
Stoke City

ELO progression

Manchester City
Stoke City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 1979
EVE
Everton
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
56%
24%
20%
85 86 1 0
15 Dec. 1979
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 0
Derby County
DER
65%
20%
15%
85 82 3 0
08 Dec. 1979
IPS
Ipswich Town
4 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
55%
24%
21%
86 86 0 -1
01 Dec. 1979
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 3
Wolves
WOL
63%
21%
16%
86 83 3 0
24 Nov. 1979
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
40%
28%
32%
86 82 4 0

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 1979
STO
Stoke City
0 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
37%
28%
35%
80 86 6 0
15 Dec. 1979
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Stoke City
STO
56%
24%
21%
80 78 2 0
08 Dec. 1979
STO
Stoke City
3 - 2
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
34%
29%
38%
80 87 7 0
01 Dec. 1979
SOU
Southampton
3 - 1
Stoke City
STO
69%
19%
12%
80 83 3 0
24 Nov. 1979
STO
Stoke City
1 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
54%
24%
22%
80 78 2 0