Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 0
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
IPS
4 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
MAC
2 - 3
WOL
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
BRI
1 - 0
MAC
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1979 |
STO
0 - 2
LEE
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
BHA
0 - 0
STO
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
STO
3 - 2
WBA
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
SOU
3 - 1
STO
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
STO
1 - 0
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |