Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.2%
2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
91
1º
4º
1º
32
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
89 | 89 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
82 | 82 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 60 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
60 | 60 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 48 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
32 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
16 | 16 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
CRV
93%
6%
1%
|
100 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WHU
1 - 3
MAC
13%
20%
67%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 1
FUL
89%
9%
3%
|
100 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 2
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
83%
11%
5%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
NTT
1 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHL
0 - 1
NTT
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
NTT
0 - 1
BUR
37%
26%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MUD
3 - 2
NTT
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NTT
2 - 1
SHE
46%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |