Champions League Grupo G round 1

Manchester City vs Crvena Zvezda analysis

Manchester City Crvena Zvezda
100 ELO 81
20.7% Tilt 11.4%
General ELO ranking 302º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
93.1%
Manchester City
5.5%
Draw
1.4%
Crvena Zvezda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
Manchester City
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.6%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.4%
Win probability
Crvena Zvezda
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manchester City
-12%
+26%
Crvena Zvezda

ELO progression

Manchester City
Crvena Zvezda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
WHU
West Ham
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
13%
20%
67%
100 91 9 0
02 Sep. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
5 - 1
Fulham
FUL
89%
9%
3%
100 87 13 0
27 Aug. 2023
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
6%
16%
78%
100 83 17 0
19 Aug. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
83%
11%
5%
100 91 9 0
16 Aug. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
91%
7%
2%
100 88 12 0

Matches

Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
ČUK
FK Cukaricki
2 - 1
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
31%
25%
44%
81 77 4 0
02 Sep. 2023
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
2 - 1
Novi Pazar
NPA
79%
14%
7%
81 63 18 0
26 Aug. 2023
VOZ
FK Vozdovac
3 - 2
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
14%
21%
66%
81 64 17 0
19 Aug. 2023
CRV
Crvena Zvezda
3 - 0
FK Spartak Subotica
FKS
80%
14%
6%
81 63 18 0
11 Aug. 2023
MLA
Mladost Lučani
1 - 4
Crvena Zvezda
CRV
14%
21%
66%
81 63 18 0